People who were right a lot of the time were people who often changed their minds. He does not think consistency of thought is a particularly positive trait. It’s perfectly healthy — encouraged, even — to have an idea tomorrow that contradicted your idea today.
He has observed that the smartest people are constantly revising their understanding, reconsidering a problem they thought they had already solved. They are open to new points of view, new information, new ideas, contradictions, and challenges to their own way of thinking.
This does not mean you should not have a well formed point of view, but it means you should consider your point of view as temporary.
What trait signified someone who was wrong a lot of the time? Someone obsessed with details that only support one point of view. If someone cannot climb out of the details, and see the bigger picture from multiple angles, they’re often wrong most of the time.
Feels like a direct endorsement for me. Thanks Jeff!